For investment advisors, a major consideration in planning for a client in retirement is the determination of a withdrawal amount that will provide the client with the funds necessary to maintain his or her desired standard of living throughout the client's remaining lifetime. If a client withdraws too much or if investment returns fall below expectations, there is a danger of either running out of funds or reducing the desired standard of living. A sustainable retirement withdrawal is the inflation-adjusted monetary amount a client can withdraw periodically from his or her retirement funds for an assumed planning horizon. This amount cannot be determined with complete certainty because of the random nature of investment returns. Usually, the sustainable retirement withdrawal is determined by limiting the probability of running out of funds to 2 some specified level, such as 5%. The sustainable retirement withdrawal amount is typically expressed as a percentage of the initial value of the assets in the retirement portfolio, but is actually the inflation-adjusted monetary amount that the client would like each year for living expenses. Assume an investment advisor, Roy Dodson, is assisting a widowed client in determining a sustainable retirement withdrawal. The client is a 59-year-old woman who turns 60 in 2 months. She has $1,000,000 in a tax-deferred retirement account that will be the primary source of her retirement income. Roy has designed a portfolio for his client with returns he expects to be normally distributed with a mean of 8% and standard deviation of 2%. Withdrawals will be made at the beginning of each year on the client's birthday. Roy assumes that the inflation rate will be 4%, based on long-term historic data. So, if her withdrawal at the beginning of the first year is $40,000, her inflation-adjusted withdrawal at the beginning of the second year will be $41,600, and third year's withdrawal will be $43,264, etc. For his initial analysis, Roy wants to assume his client will live until age 95. In consultation with his client, he also wants to limit the chance that she will run out of money before her death to a maximum of 5%. What is the maximum amount Roy should advise his client to withdraw on her 60th birthday? If she lives until age 95, how much should the client expect to leave to her heirs? Build a simulation model and replicate your experiment 10,000 times for your answers.

Pfin (with Mindtap, 1 Term Printed Access Card) (mindtap Course List)
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ISBN:9780357033609
Author:Randall Billingsley, Lawrence J. Gitman, Michael D. Joehnk
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Chapter4: Managing Your Cash And Savings
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1FPE: Adapting to a low-interest-rate environment. A retired couple has expressed concern about the really...
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For investment advisors, a major consideration in planning for a client in retirement is the determination of a
withdrawal amount that will provide the client with the funds necessary to maintain his or her desired
standard of living throughout the client's remaining lifetime. If a client withdraws too much or if investment
returns fall below expectations, there is a danger of either running out of funds or reducing the desired
standard of living. A sustainable retirement withdrawal is the inflation-adjusted monetary amount a client
can withdraw periodically from his or her retirement funds for an assumed planning horizon. This amount
cannot be determined with complete certainty because of the random nature of investment returns. Usually,
the sustainable retirement withdrawal is determined by limiting the probability of running out of funds to
2
some specified level, such as 5%. The sustainable retirement withdrawal amount is typically expressed as a
percentage of the initial value of the assets in the retirement portfolio, but is actually the inflation-adjusted
monetary amount that the client would like each year for living expenses.
Assume an investment advisor, Roy Dodson, is assisting a widowed client in determining a sustainable
retirement withdrawal. The client is a 59-year-old woman who turns 60 in 2 months. She has $1,000,000 in a
tax-deferred retirement account that will be the primary source of her retirement income. Roy has designed a
portfolio for his client with returns he expects to be normally distributed with a mean of 8% and standard
deviation of 2%. Withdrawals will be made at the beginning of each year on the client's birthday.
Roy assumes that the inflation rate will be 4%, based on long-term historic data. So, if her withdrawal at the
beginning of the first year is $40,000, her inflation-adjusted withdrawal at the beginning of the second year
will be $41,600, and third year's withdrawal will be $43,264, etc.
For his initial analysis, Roy wants to assume his client will live until age 95. In consultation with his client,
he also wants to limit the chance that she will run out of money before her death to a maximum of 5%.
What is the maximum amount Roy should advise his client to withdraw on her 60th birthday? If she lives
until age 95, how much should the client expect to leave to her heirs?
Build a simulation model and replicate your experiment 10,000 times for your answers.
Transcribed Image Text:For investment advisors, a major consideration in planning for a client in retirement is the determination of a withdrawal amount that will provide the client with the funds necessary to maintain his or her desired standard of living throughout the client's remaining lifetime. If a client withdraws too much or if investment returns fall below expectations, there is a danger of either running out of funds or reducing the desired standard of living. A sustainable retirement withdrawal is the inflation-adjusted monetary amount a client can withdraw periodically from his or her retirement funds for an assumed planning horizon. This amount cannot be determined with complete certainty because of the random nature of investment returns. Usually, the sustainable retirement withdrawal is determined by limiting the probability of running out of funds to 2 some specified level, such as 5%. The sustainable retirement withdrawal amount is typically expressed as a percentage of the initial value of the assets in the retirement portfolio, but is actually the inflation-adjusted monetary amount that the client would like each year for living expenses. Assume an investment advisor, Roy Dodson, is assisting a widowed client in determining a sustainable retirement withdrawal. The client is a 59-year-old woman who turns 60 in 2 months. She has $1,000,000 in a tax-deferred retirement account that will be the primary source of her retirement income. Roy has designed a portfolio for his client with returns he expects to be normally distributed with a mean of 8% and standard deviation of 2%. Withdrawals will be made at the beginning of each year on the client's birthday. Roy assumes that the inflation rate will be 4%, based on long-term historic data. So, if her withdrawal at the beginning of the first year is $40,000, her inflation-adjusted withdrawal at the beginning of the second year will be $41,600, and third year's withdrawal will be $43,264, etc. For his initial analysis, Roy wants to assume his client will live until age 95. In consultation with his client, he also wants to limit the chance that she will run out of money before her death to a maximum of 5%. What is the maximum amount Roy should advise his client to withdraw on her 60th birthday? If she lives until age 95, how much should the client expect to leave to her heirs? Build a simulation model and replicate your experiment 10,000 times for your answers.
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