The unemployment rates in the United States during a 10- year period are given in the following table. Use exponential smoothing to find the best forecast for next year. Use smoothing constants of 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, and 0.8. Which one had the lowest MAD? Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Unemployment Rate 7.2 7.0 6.2 5.5

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
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The unemployment rates in the United States during a 10- year period are given in the following table. Use exponential smoothing to find the best forecast for next year. Use smoothing constants of 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, and 0.8. Which one had the lowest MAD?

Year

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Unemployment Rate

7.2

7.0

6.2

5.5

5.3

5.5

6.7

7.4

6.8

6.1

 

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